Sports betting experts often make the choice by betting against a specific team, instead of having to bet on the team they think will win. In other words, sometimes when you know a team is bad, you can make money on sports betting just by betting against that bad team.
Here’s a perfect example. Take a look at my analysis of the Miss South vs Memphis NCAA college football game:
Miss pkv games South -7 in Memphis
The game matches Miss South, 4-4 SU, against a very bad Memphis team who have played 1-7 this season, with their only win coming against an equally bad Chattanooga team in week 2. That puts Memphis in the middle- are in the middle of a 6 losing streak, while Miss South have not done better, losing 3 of their last four matches.
But this is the key to this game. Miss South couldn’t move the ball when they over-matched. In their 4 losses, they only scored 7,6,6 and 17 points. However, when they play in a team they can push, they have offense to put points on the board. In their 4 wins, Miss South have scored 45, 37, 31 and 19 points.
Meanwhile, Memphis have given up over 35 points in 5 of their last 6 matches, and 26 in their match against Arkansas St. This tells me that Miss South is likely to score a lot of points tonight.
Look for Miss South to simply beat Memphis and collect a lot of points tonight, while holding Memphis offense under 20 points. The bottom line is that I hope Southern Miss wins this win going, 31-17, easily covering the 7-point line.
So what’s the final score? Southern Miss won 42-21, easily beating a 7-point margin.
How much money do you think sports betting professionals are making on this game just by recognizing how bad the Memphis team is?
Often there is no need to try to figure out who will win the melee. People who are not good at sports betting are often tricked into figuring out who will win a tight game, such as the Super Bowl.
When you bet on a game where you know one team is bad, you already know that the better team will win – just by how much they will win.